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Not that well know has the most exciting sector of the
semiconductor equipment business, ion implantation runs along under its own
steam most of the time. With well-entrenched competitors and preferred
customers, its not often the sparks begin to fly.
But the sparks are definitely flying right now between
Axcelis and Varian two of the major players in the ion-implanter market. Mary
Puma, "head honchess" at Axcellis, kicked things off the other day during a
financial conference call.
After the usual dull bits about spreadsheets, Puma took to
the stage and rattled off a detailed well written sales pitch about its Optima
HD implanter. Thinking at first I was in the wrong conference call it was hard
to keep up with all the points she was throwing out to the analysts about why
their new tool is simply the best on the block.
Then Puma switched to raising a few questions she had
obviously written down beforehand and without a gasp for air rushed straight in
to provide the answers!
It was all about the hoo-ha surrounding Varian's tool order
win with an existing Axcelis customer in the deeply conservative tool selection
territory of Japan. No doubt Puma had been getting a lot of calls from analysts
and such like before the conference call and felt compelled to tell her side of
the story.
As far as Puma was concerned, backed up with the attendance
and support of the VP of sales and marketing, its market share in Japan was
anything other than biz as usual. She claimed that the order win was more to do
with "pricing" than anything else and that as far as they could tell they still
had 62 percent of the Japanese market.
Then we get Varian, pump out two press releases coinciding
with its financial results, highlighting the order wins! Then in the conference
call one of the first things mentioned by Gary Dickerson, Varian's head honcho
that they were gaining market share and should finish the year with a 40
percent share of the implanter cake. Not surprisingly Dickerson highlighted the
strengths of its implanter technology over rivals and felt pretty good with how
things were going and certainly took full pleasure in rubbing Puma's nose in
it!
If Dickerson is correct about market shares, then we are
indeed seeing a shift. VLSI Research figures for the last two quarters would
seem to confirm Varian's interpretations. However, quarterly market share
numbers, particularly in the implant arena are highly volatile.
According to VLSI Research, Varian has actually been losing
market share, not by any big flows, rather a tiny trickle over the last few
years. In fact taking a more holistic view of the overall implant market would
suggest that things have pretty much stayed the same since 2002.
This backs up my perception that the implant biz tend to
lack any "zip" and "intrigue" and seems quite boring (boron spin) most of the
time.
With Varian claiming around a 10 percent market share gain
for 2005, the implanter biz is anything but boring. Now who would have
guessed I would be saying that!
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