In a revision of its April forecast of a 19.8 percent decline in
worldwide capital equipment spending, Gartner, Inc. has forecast a 22.4
percent decrease from spending levels seen in 2007. The market research
company have estimated that spending for the year will amount to
approximately $49.2 billion and that the decline is a result of
oversupply in the DRAM and NAND flash memory segments.
Price declines in both segments will see DRAM spending down 40.5
percent, while NAND flash expenditure is expected to decrease by 19
percent. Overall worldwide memory spending looks set to decline by 32.1
percent. Double-digit declines are also on the cards for all
semiconductor equipment sectors, according to Klaus Rinnen Managing
Vice President for Gartner's semiconductor manufacturing group.
“The
next six to 12 months will be another period of uncertainty and risks
for the semiconductor manufacturing and equipment industries,” said
Klaus Rinnen, managing vice president for Gartner's semiconductor
manufacturing group. “The bursting of the DRAM spending bubble should
come as a surprise to no one; the fact that it coincides with downward
economic pressures and the uncertain impact on semiconductor demand
adds significant risk to an already grim forecast for capital
equipment.”