|
Spansion announced yesterday that it is finding it very hard
to migrate production to its advanced MirrorBit technology, using its internal
manufacturing capacity.
Spansion's existing 200mm facilities based in the US and
Japan have been running at capacity for a year while construction started in
Japan (1Q05) on its first 300mm facility.
That will not be ready for volume production until mid-2006,
according to our figures. With NOR Flash demand still robust but prices under
continued pressure the company is unable to make an operating profit. This has
meant that increasing production and leveraging better economies of sale are
the only route to a profitable state.
However, the problem is that to migrate to more advanced
technologies of its MirrorBit chip design, Spansion would take a hit on
utilisation levels while qualification and ramp gets underway.
TSMC has come to rescue in the form of being Spansion's
foundry of choice to produce its older 110nm flash devices. Interestingly, news
reports claim that TSMC's Fab 6 would be used for Spansion's needs. However,
Fab 6, according to our figures does not have poor utilisation so it could well
be another of TSMC's 200mm fabs that gets the business.
TSMC like UMC is facing a problem of back filling older
200mm fabs as 250nm and 180nm demand is falling off fast. This new partnership
allows TSMC to fill under utilised but fully depreciated fabs for low margin
Flash production. Spansion could only use a foundry cost effectively in this
way, as it would probably lose more money per wafer than it is already doing.
The news will also do little for TSMC's wafer ASP's that
have been in decline on a long trend line since 2001 due to increased foundry
competition and over capacity in the foundry marketplace.
Going forward it would not surprise us that Spansion
utilises TSMC new and very large 200mm fab in China in an effort to get back
lost profitability as Flash prices could remain under pressure in 2006.
TSMC also wins our "sick quote of the week" award for its
comments about the Spansion partnership announcement (see below).
"Spansion is a highly innovative company in a growing
market," said TSMC CEO Dr. Rick Tsai. "When combined with TSMC's manufacturing
muscle and industry-leading customer partnerships, this combination makes for a
powerful win-win relationship."
|