|
SMIC, one of the big four foundries announced increased
losses for its second quarter financial results. These went from $30 million US
dollars in the last quarter to $40 million US dollars this time round. Sales
revenues have picked up to levels of the 4Q04 but the key difference is the
utilisation figures. Adding capacity for new customers and processes while not
having customers for existing capacity saw losses widen.
Understandably perhaps the company attempted to paint as
good a picture of the underlying business as possible, noting that sales were
improving and the second half looks good.
A couple of things though were worrying! SMIC highlighted
that it had gained around 20 new customers in the quarter with over half of
these being Chinese fabless companies. SMIC has a mandate to engage and support
the local fledgling fabless community but the vast majority of these companies
are too small to make any significant revenues for SMIC. Indeed, it is doubtful
that any of these companies would be engaged by the likes of TSMC or UMC as
they would not be turning enough wafers per month to justify doing business
with them.
Another small point is the claimed increase in CAPEX. This
has only been raised by $100 million US dollars and only on the back of a $600
million loan from a variety of Chinese State owned banks. SMIC has had to pace
itself in a way it didn't think it would have too, only 12 months ago.
The most worrying comment came from the update on the ramp
of its 300mm fab. Both Infineon and Elpida are planning to use the facility for
DRAM production, however the comment in SMIC's press release stated, " on the
technology front, our first customer products at 90nm are currently under
qualification and remain on-schedule."
If SMIC is referring to Elpida's 90nm DRAM stack process
then this is far from the truth. Elpida announced this week that the expected
production ramp of wafers at SMIC's 300mm fab have been delayed due to the fact
that poor yields have meant that the fab is yet to be qualified by Elpida. They
have taken SMIC's wafer output out of their figures for the time being while
SMIC sorts out the problems. Of course "remain on-schedule" could mean that
qualification remains on schedule as a new revised schedule has been agreed. As
for the old schedule, that's long gone as far as Elpida is concerned.
SMIC has certainly hit a bit of brick wall during this
latest slump. With delays in tool installing its first 300mm fab, then
continuing problems in getting the fab qualified for two major customers is
dragging the foundry down. 300mm tool depreciation costs are fierce,
significantly higher than 200mm tools. With Elpida happy to sit on the
sidelines for now, SMIC is currently out of sync with its business model of
filling fabs fast and generating must needed cash as quickly as possible. It
would not be surprising to see the foundry struggle through the rest of the
year to start turning a profit.
|