During our Tuesday (July 29) chat at the company's modest global headquarters in Menlo Park, Signet Solar's
founder-CEO Rajeeva Lahri and VP of manufacturing Bijan Moslehi updated
me on the company's latest news and future plans, including the status
of the ramp of their first production facility in Mochau, outside of
Dresden. The chief exec told me that the final acceptance test, or FAT,
should be completed on the initial 20-MW single-junction thin-film
amorphous-silicon-on-glass line "within the next 90 days," with a
subsequent ramp to 45 MW taking place soon thereafter.
Signet Solar's Lahri has big glass on his mind.
"We should be a peak capacity" within that time, he said, and
should end the year running volume production "with full capacity."
Now, the factory team is going through what the two former
semiconductor guys jokingly called "pipe cleaners," which include
debugging, tuning up the automation, and establishing baseline
manufacturing windows. Although the plant utilizes a single work shift
now, a second one will soon be added, with plans for three-a-day, 24/7
operations once they get past the FAT.
Signet's fab is one of the first to feature deployment of
Applied Materials' SunFab
turnkey line and its 5.72 sq meter, 120-kg slabs of glass (2.2 x 2.6
m), an example of which was displayed at both the recent Intersolar
Munich and North America trade shows.Despite rumors to the contrary,
Moslehi assured me that the panel is indeed a working unit. "The first
module off the line worked within spec at about 6% efficiency,
plus-or-minus 10%." The inaugural panel was one of a batch of 10 that
were fabricated in May, a mere 10 months after the start of
construction on the factory.
Signet plans to move quickly to production of higher-efficiency
tandem-junction a-Si panels. Because the floorplan of the fab was
designed to eventually accommodate the additional process chambers
required for production of the tandem modules, Moslehi expects the ramp
to be quicker. Once operational, "line yields will be 90% or better,
with at least 80-85% uptimes."
Lahri said that the company hopes to be at 65-70 MW capacity with
the more efficient units by the end of 2009. That level of capacity
translates into about 140,000 panels of annual output, if one
calculates 2000 500-W panels needed for each megawatt of manufacturing
capability.
Both the Signet execs put their stamp of approval on the Applied
turnkey toolset, although Lahri admitted there were still "lessons to
be learned" and enhancements that could be made. "We have shared
lead-line data with them, which they are digesting. But we are very
pleased with the AMAT tools--they all met their targets.... Applied
will continue to be our tool provider." He also mentioned that one of
the non-AMAT tools in the turnkey line that has come under suspicion in
some quarters--the laser scriber--has been "a pleasant surprise."
One part of the line that "could use some improvements" is in the
area of metrology and inspection, according to Moslehi. Lahri cited the
need for a "semiconductor mindset" and the implementation of additional
in- and offline monitoring systems and statistical process control
measures. "Line 1 is running fine, but we still see lots of room for
improvements across the board."
Lahri answered the question of how Signet hopes to differentiate
itself from other companies employing the turnkey solar-fab strategy in
a couple of different ways. First, he said that even with FAT, "there
is still alot of engineering left to do. In the strictest sense,
nothing's turnkey." For example, the company has its own supply chain,
dealing directly with the glass companies and materials houses like Air
Products, which provides the silane for the factory.
He also said that Signet will separate itself by having a "faster
time to market and lower costs, being among the 'first movers,'" and
through research and development efforts. "We are already filing
patents in areas like nanocoatings and triple-junction cells, as well
as [things like] productivity enhancements and higher efficiencies.
"We want to achieve 12-15% efficiencies using new materials and
device architectures....we feel there is lots of room for improvement
in micro/nanocrystalline silicon thin films. "With more critical mass,
we may look at more disruptive technologies, either internally or
through acquisition."
As for the longer-term value of the turnkey approach, Lahri thought
it will be "interesting to see how the integrated line model works....
Once the licensees add a few lines, why would they keep with that
model? How would it add value in the future?"
The two told me they got a kick out of my term "BAPV" (for "big-ass
PV") to describe the huge glass panels they manufacture. Yet Lahri
explained that initially, the majority of customers want the half- or
quarter-size modules, while a "significant minority" ask for the
full-size panels. He also did not discount the possibility of going to
a smaller size substrate, say Gen 5 glass, in future factories that
might be located in the developing world where infrastructure might
limit the ability to transport the larger panels.
Although future plans call for the construction of a second 65-70
MW factory alongside the current plant in Mochau, another several
hundred megawatt site in India, and perhaps a US-based fab too as part
of what Lehri calls a "long-term regional strategy," the focus right
now is on executing the first few factory ramps and moving product in
volume to the customers. He believes Signet can get close to or reach
about $3.50 per installed panel by 2010. He admits grid parity (more
like $2.50 per) "is not one single number" and depends on location,
policy, and other factors, but should be attainable by 2012.
In the next few months, the company will put its panels to the
test--on its own factory roof. Installation of a 250-KW array should be
done within 90 days, according to Lahri. Although both gents pointed
out that the system will only provide a few percent of the factory's
energy needs, the chief exec joked that "it's time to drink our own
Kool-Aid."